RIDGE_REG

Ridge regression adds an L2 penalty to ordinary least squares to stabilize coefficient estimates when features are noisy or correlated. It is a common regularized baseline for continuous prediction problems.

The model addresses multicollinearity by minimizing the penalized residual sum of squares:

\min_{w} ||y - Xw||^2_2 + \alpha ||w||^2_2

where \alpha \ge 0 is the complexity parameter controlling the amount of shrinkage.

This wrapper accepts tabular feature data with rows as samples and columns as features, plus a numeric target supplied as a single row or single column. It returns the training R^2 together with fitted predictions, residuals, and learned coefficient arrays.

Excel Usage

=RIDGE_REG(data, target, alpha, ridge_solver, fit_intercept, tol, random_state)
  • data (list[list], required): 2D array of numeric feature data with rows as samples and columns as features.
  • target (list[list], required): Numeric target values as a single row, single column, or scalar when only one sample is present.
  • alpha (float, optional, default: 1): L2 regularization strength applied to the regression model.
  • ridge_solver (str, optional, default: “auto”): Linear algebra solver used to fit the ridge model.
  • fit_intercept (bool, optional, default: true): Whether to include an intercept term in the linear model.
  • tol (float, optional, default: 0.0001): Convergence tolerance for iterative solvers.
  • random_state (int, optional, default: null): Integer seed for stochastic solvers. Leave blank for the estimator default.

Returns (dict): Excel data type containing training R^2, predictions, residuals, and fitted coefficient arrays.

Example 1: Fit ridge regression on a two-feature linear trend

Inputs:

data target alpha ridge_solver fit_intercept tol random_state
0 0 1 1 auto true 0.0001 0
1 0 3
0 1 4
1 1 6
2 1 8
2 2 11

Excel formula:

=RIDGE_REG({0,0;1,0;0,1;1,1;2,1;2,2}, {1;3;4;6;8;11}, 1, "auto", TRUE, 0.0001, 0)

Expected output:

{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.971641,"properties":{"training_r2":{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.971641},"mean_squared_error":{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.309584},"sample_count":{"type":"Double","basicValue":6},"feature_count":{"type":"Double","basicValue":2},"predictions":{"type":"Array","elements":[[{"type":"Double","basicValue":1.71429}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":3.6044}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":3.98901}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":5.87912}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":7.76923}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":10.044}]]},"residuals":{"type":"Array","elements":[[{"type":"Double","basicValue":-0.714286}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":-0.604396}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.010989}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.120879}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.230769}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.956044}]]},"coefficients":{"type":"Array","elements":[[{"type":"Double","basicValue":1.89011},{"type":"Double","basicValue":2.27473}]]},"intercepts":{"type":"Array","elements":[[{"type":"Double","basicValue":1.71429}]]}}}

Example 2: Flatten a single-row numeric target range for ridge regression

Inputs:

data target alpha ridge_solver fit_intercept tol random_state
0 1 3 5 7 9 11 0.5 auto true 0.0001 0
1
2
3
4
5

Excel formula:

=RIDGE_REG({0;1;2;3;4;5}, {1,3,5,7,9,11}, 0.5, "auto", TRUE, 0.0001, 0)

Expected output:

{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.999228,"properties":{"training_r2":{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.999228},"mean_squared_error":{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.00900206},"sample_count":{"type":"Double","basicValue":6},"feature_count":{"type":"Double","basicValue":1},"predictions":{"type":"Array","elements":[[{"type":"Double","basicValue":1.13889}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":3.08333}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":5.02778}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":6.97222}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":8.91667}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":10.8611}]]},"residuals":{"type":"Array","elements":[[{"type":"Double","basicValue":-0.138889}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":-0.0833333}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":-0.0277778}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.0277778}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.0833333}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.138889}]]},"coefficients":{"type":"Array","elements":[[{"type":"Double","basicValue":1.94444}]]},"intercepts":{"type":"Array","elements":[[{"type":"Double","basicValue":1.13889}]]}}}

Example 3: Fit a no-intercept ridge model on a two-feature plane

Inputs:

data target alpha ridge_solver fit_intercept tol random_state
1 0 2 0.2 svd false 0.0001 0
0 1 3
1 1 5
2 1 7
1 2 8
2 2 10

Excel formula:

=RIDGE_REG({1,0;0,1;1,1;2,1;1,2;2,2}, {2;3;5;7;8;10}, 0.2, "svd", FALSE, 0.0001, 0)

Expected output:

{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.9993,"properties":{"training_r2":{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.9993},"mean_squared_error":{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.00546198},"sample_count":{"type":"Double","basicValue":6},"feature_count":{"type":"Double","basicValue":2},"predictions":{"type":"Array","elements":[[{"type":"Double","basicValue":2.0207}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":2.92979}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":4.9505}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":6.9712}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":7.88029}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":9.90099}]]},"residuals":{"type":"Array","elements":[[{"type":"Double","basicValue":-0.0207021}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.070207}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.049505}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.0288029}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.119712}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.0990099}]]},"coefficients":{"type":"Array","elements":[[{"type":"Double","basicValue":2.0207},{"type":"Double","basicValue":2.92979}]]},"intercepts":{"type":"Array","elements":[[{"type":"Double","basicValue":0}]]}}}

Example 4: Fit ridge regression on correlated features with the LSQR solver

Inputs:

data target alpha ridge_solver fit_intercept tol random_state
0 0.1 1 0.3 lsqr true 0.0001 0
1 0.9 3.1
2 2.1 5.8
3 2.9 7.9
4 4.1 10.2
5 4.9 12.1

Excel formula:

=RIDGE_REG({0,0.1;1,0.9;2,2.1;3,2.9;4,4.1;5,4.9}, {1;3.1;5.8;7.9;10.2;12.1}, 0.3, "lsqr", TRUE, 0.0001, 0)

Expected output:

{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.998837,"properties":{"training_r2":{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.998837},"mean_squared_error":{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.0172674},"sample_count":{"type":"Double","basicValue":6},"feature_count":{"type":"Double","basicValue":2},"predictions":{"type":"Array","elements":[[{"type":"Double","basicValue":1.1603}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":3.18951}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":5.66873}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":7.69794}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":10.1772}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":12.2064}]]},"residuals":{"type":"Array","elements":[[{"type":"Double","basicValue":-0.1603}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":-0.0895065}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.13127}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.202064}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":0.0228398}],[{"type":"Double","basicValue":-0.106366}]]},"coefficients":{"type":"Array","elements":[[{"type":"Double","basicValue":1.12917},{"type":"Double","basicValue":1.12504}]]},"intercepts":{"type":"Array","elements":[[{"type":"Double","basicValue":1.0478}]]}}}

Python Code

import numpy as np
from sklearn.linear_model import Ridge as SklearnRidge

def ridge_reg(data, target, alpha=1, ridge_solver='auto', fit_intercept=True, tol=0.0001, random_state=None):
    """
    Fit a ridge regression model and return training predictions.

    See: https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/generated/sklearn.linear_model.Ridge.html

    This example function is provided as-is without any representation of accuracy.

    Args:
        data (list[list]): 2D array of numeric feature data with rows as samples and columns as features.
        target (list[list]): Numeric target values as a single row, single column, or scalar when only one sample is present.
        alpha (float, optional): L2 regularization strength applied to the regression model. Default is 1.
        ridge_solver (str, optional): Linear algebra solver used to fit the ridge model. Valid options: Auto, SVD, LSQR, SAG, SAGA. Default is 'auto'.
        fit_intercept (bool, optional): Whether to include an intercept term in the linear model. Default is True.
        tol (float, optional): Convergence tolerance for iterative solvers. Default is 0.0001.
        random_state (int, optional): Integer seed for stochastic solvers. Leave blank for the estimator default. Default is None.

    Returns:
        dict: Excel data type containing training $R^2$, predictions, residuals, and fitted coefficient arrays.
    """
    def py(value):
        return value.item() if isinstance(value, np.generic) else value

    def cell(value):
        value = py(value)
        if isinstance(value, bool):
            return {"type": "Boolean", "basicValue": bool(value)}
        if isinstance(value, (int, float)) and not isinstance(value, bool):
            return {"type": "Double", "basicValue": float(value)}
        return {"type": "String", "basicValue": str(value)}

    def col(values):
        return [[cell(value)] for value in values]

    def mat(values):
        return [[cell(value) for value in row] for row in values]

    def parse_data(value):
        value = [[value]] if not isinstance(value, list) else value
        if not isinstance(value, list) or not value or not all(isinstance(row, list) and row for row in value):
            return None, "Error: data must be a non-empty 2D list"
        if len({len(row) for row in value}) != 1:
            return None, "Error: data must be a rectangular 2D list"
        data_np = np.array(value, dtype=float)
        if data_np.ndim != 2 or data_np.size == 0:
            return None, "Error: data must be a non-empty 2D list"
        if not np.isfinite(data_np).all():
            return None, "Error: data must contain only finite numeric values"
        return data_np, None

    def parse_target(value, sample_count):
        if not isinstance(value, list):
            labels = [value]
        elif not value:
            return None, "Error: target must be non-empty"
        elif all(not isinstance(item, list) for item in value):
            labels = value
        elif len(value) == 1:
            labels = value[0]
        elif all(isinstance(row, list) and len(row) == 1 for row in value):
            labels = [row[0] for row in value]
        else:
            return None, "Error: target must be a single row or column"

        if len(labels) != sample_count:
            return None, "Error: target length must match sample count"

        parsed = []
        for item in labels:
            item = py(item)
            if isinstance(item, bool) or not isinstance(item, (int, float)):
                return None, "Error: target values must be finite numeric scalars"
            if not np.isfinite(float(item)):
                return None, "Error: target values must be finite numeric scalars"
            parsed.append(float(item))
        return np.array(parsed, dtype=float), None

    def flat_float_list(values):
        return [float(py(item)) for item in np.asarray(values).reshape(-1).tolist()]

    try:
        data_np, error = parse_data(data)
        if error:
            return error

        target_np, error = parse_target(target, data_np.shape[0])
        if error:
            return error

        solver_value = str(ridge_solver).strip().lower()
        if solver_value not in {"auto", "svd", "lsqr", "sag", "saga"}:
            return "Error: ridge_solver must be 'auto', 'svd', 'lsqr', 'sag', or 'saga'"
        if float(alpha) < 0:
            return "Error: alpha must be non-negative"
        if float(tol) <= 0:
            return "Error: tol must be greater than 0"

        fitted = SklearnRidge(
            alpha=float(alpha),
            solver=solver_value,
            fit_intercept=bool(fit_intercept),
            tol=float(tol),
            random_state=None if random_state in (None, "") else int(random_state)
        ).fit(data_np, target_np)

        prediction_array = np.asarray(fitted.predict(data_np), dtype=float)
        residual_array = target_np - prediction_array
        predictions = flat_float_list(prediction_array)
        residuals = flat_float_list(residual_array)
        training_r2 = float(fitted.score(data_np, target_np))
        mse = float(np.mean(np.square(residual_array)))

        return {
            "type": "Double",
            "basicValue": training_r2,
            "properties": {
                "training_r2": {"type": "Double", "basicValue": training_r2},
                "mean_squared_error": {"type": "Double", "basicValue": mse},
                "sample_count": {"type": "Double", "basicValue": float(data_np.shape[0])},
                "feature_count": {"type": "Double", "basicValue": float(data_np.shape[1])},
                "predictions": {"type": "Array", "elements": col(predictions)},
                "residuals": {"type": "Array", "elements": col(residuals)},
                "coefficients": {"type": "Array", "elements": mat(np.atleast_2d(fitted.coef_).tolist())},
                "intercepts": {"type": "Array", "elements": col(np.atleast_1d(fitted.intercept_).tolist())}
            }
        }
    except Exception as e:
        return f"Error: {str(e)}"

Online Calculator

2D array of numeric feature data with rows as samples and columns as features.
Numeric target values as a single row, single column, or scalar when only one sample is present.
L2 regularization strength applied to the regression model.
Linear algebra solver used to fit the ridge model.
Whether to include an intercept term in the linear model.
Convergence tolerance for iterative solvers.
Integer seed for stochastic solvers. Leave blank for the estimator default.